tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Dulles via Los Angeles: arrives on time 56%

  1. 20:31 LAS → 21:55 LAX
    UA 2282 · United · 1h 24m · 77% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:41 LAX → 06:47 IAD +1 day
    UA 349 · United · 5h 06m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip7h 16mLAS 20:31 to IAD 06:47, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.