tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Newark via Denver: arrives on time 65%

  1. 08:50 SMF → 12:16 DEN
    UA 2285 · United · 2h 26m · 98% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 19m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:35 DEN → 21:29 EWR
    UA 1715 · United · 3h 54m · 66% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 9h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 154 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 19m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip9h 39mSMF 08:50 to EWR 21:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.