tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Rochester via Chicago: arrives on time 66%

  1. 09:20 EWR → 11:04 ORD
    UA 2290 · United · 2h 44m · 83% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 51m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:55 ORD → 16:45 ROC
    UA 1239 · United · 1h 50m · 71% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 126 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 51m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip7h 25mEWR 09:20 to ROC 16:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.