Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Newark → Rochester via Chicago: arrives on time 65%
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09:20 EWR → 11:04 ORDUA 2290 · United · 2h 44m · 83% on time, 2.8% cancelled
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48m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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11:52 ORD → 14:49 ROCUA 3629 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 57m · 93% on time, 1.4% cancelled
Total trip 5h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip5h 29mEWR 09:20 to ROC 14:49, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.