tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Las Vegas via Newark: arrives on time 83%

  1. 06:00 ORD → 09:12 EWR
    UA 2295 · United · 2h 12m · 94% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 13m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:25 EWR → 14:53 LAS
    UA 1864 · United · 5h 28m · 86% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 10h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 148 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 13m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip10h 53mORD 06:00 to LAS 14:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.