Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Chicago → Dulles via Minneapolis: arrives on time 49%
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14:30 ORD → 16:13 MSPUA 2298 · United · 1h 43m · 74% on time, 1.0% cancelled
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52m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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17:05 MSP → 20:43 IADUA 3678 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 38m · 88% on time, 7.4% cancelled
Total trip 5h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (7.4% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip5h 13mORD 14:30 to IAD 20:43, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.