Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Bozeman via Chicago: arrives on time 29%
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17:25 LGA → 19:12 ORDUA 2299 · United · 2h 47m · 49% on time, 4.8% cancelled
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1h 03m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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20:15 ORD → 22:43 BZNUA 533 · United · 3h 28m · 58% on time, 1.7% cancelled
Total trip 7h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 2 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip7h 18mLGA 17:25 to BZN 22:43, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.