Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Hebron via Newark: arrives on time 55%

  1. 23:15 LAX → 07:30 EWR
    UA 2303 · United · 5h 15m · 77% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:24 EWR → 10:36 CVG +1 day
    UA 3417 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 12m · 83% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 21mLAX 23:15 to CVG 10:36, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.