Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
San Francisco → New Orleans via Chicago: arrives on time 43%
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12:00 SFO → 18:35 ORDUA 2317 · United · 4h 35m · 50% on time, 2.8% cancelled
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1h 36m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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20:11 ORD → 22:46 MSYUA 1761 · United · 2h 35m · 63% on time, 3.9% cancelled
Total trip 8h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 51 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 36m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (3.9% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip8h 46mSFO 12:00 to MSY 22:46, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.