Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Indianapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 40%

  1. 12:00 SFO → 18:35 ORD
    UA 2317 · United · 4h 35m · 50% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:45 ORD → 22:05 IND
    UA 3707 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 20m · 76% on time, 4.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (4.6% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 05mSFO 12:00 to IND 22:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.