tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Traverse City via Chicago: arrives on time 35%

  1. 09:35 DEN → 13:15 ORD
    UA 2329 · United · 2h 40m · 84% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:05 ORD → 16:31 TVC
    UA 5504 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 26m · 53% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Traverse City is 2 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip4h 56mDEN 09:35 to TVC 16:31, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.