tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Columbia via Chicago: arrives on time 50%

  1. 13:15 IAD → 14:29 ORD
    UA 2331 · United · 2h 14m · 81% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 46m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:15 ORD → 21:30 CAE
    UA 5594 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 15m · 54% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 181 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 46m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip8h 15mIAD 13:15 to CAE 21:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.