tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → New York via Denver: arrives on time 37%

  1. 15:18 MSN → 16:45 DEN
    UA 2338 · United · 2h 27m · 73% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:35 DEN → 23:30 LGA
    UA 2033 · United · 3h 55m · 60% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip7h 12mMSN 15:18 to LGA 23:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.