tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Charlotte via Denver: arrives on time 51%

  1. 15:18 MSN → 16:45 DEN
    UA 2338 · United · 2h 27m · 73% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 DEN → 23:08 CLT
    UA 616 · United · 3h 23m · 71% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip6h 50mMSN 15:18 to CLT 23:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.