tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Sacramento via Houston: arrives on time 74%

  1. 15:08 BNA → 17:19 IAH
    UA 2339 · United · 2h 11m · 72% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 16m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 IAH → 22:43 SMF
    UA 1148 · United · 4h 08m · 79% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 151 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 16m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip9h 35mBNA 15:08 to SMF 22:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.