tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Tulsa via Houston: arrives on time 55%

  1. 15:08 BNA → 17:19 IAH
    UA 2339 · United · 2h 11m · 72% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:20 IAH → 20:00 TUL
    UA 3991 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 40m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip4h 52mBNA 15:08 to TUL 20:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.