tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Jacksonville via Houston: arrives on time 52%

  1. 15:08 BNA → 17:19 IAH
    UA 2339 · United · 2h 11m · 72% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:15 IAH → 21:41 JAX
    UA 4035 · United, flown by Mesa · 2h 26m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Jacksonville is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip5h 33mBNA 15:08 to JAX 21:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.