tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Panama City Beach via Houston: arrives on time 41%

  1. 15:08 BNA → 17:19 IAH
    UA 2339 · United · 2h 11m · 72% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:05 IAH → 20:01 ECP
    UA 4043 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 56m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip4h 53mBNA 15:08 to ECP 20:01, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.