tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Dallas-Fort Worth via San Francisco: arrives on time 60%

  1. 06:15 SBA → 07:25 SFO
    UA 2340 · United · 1h 10m · 89% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:25 SFO → 16:08 DFW
    UA 2842 · United · 3h 43m · 61% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 2 h ahead of Santa Barbara). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip7h 53mSBA 06:15 to DFW 16:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.