tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Missoula via Los Angeles: arrives on time 75%

  1. 07:00 ORD → 09:33 LAX
    UA 2361 · United · 4h 33m · 90% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 57m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:30 LAX → 16:11 MSO
    AA 6270 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 41m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Missoula is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 87 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 57m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip10h 11mORD 07:00 to MSO 16:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.