tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Everett via Los Angeles: arrives on time 77%

  1. 10:19 SFO → 11:57 LAX
    UA 2367 · United · 1h 38m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 56m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:53 LAX → 18:36 PAE
    AS 2279 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 43m · 77% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 146 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 56m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip8h 17mSFO 10:19 to PAE 18:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.