tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Bozeman via Los Angeles: arrives on time 63%

  1. 10:19 SFO → 11:57 LAX
    UA 2367 · United · 1h 38m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:50 LAX → 16:24 BZN
    UA 2212 · United · 2h 34m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 1 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip5h 05mSFO 10:19 to BZN 16:24, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.