Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Sacramento → Orlando via Chicago: arrives on time 52%
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07:00 SMF → 13:10 ORDUA 2370 · United · 4h 10m · 87% on time, 3.2% cancelled
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50m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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14:00 ORD → 17:57 MCOUA 609 · United · 2h 57m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 7h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 57mSMF 07:00 to MCO 17:57, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.