tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Pittsburgh via Newark: arrives on time 46%

  1. 12:00 IAH → 16:46 EWR
    UA 2371 · United · 3h 46m · 72% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:35 EWR → 19:13 PIT
    UA 3447 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 38m · 80% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Pittsburgh is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 13mIAH 12:00 to PIT 19:13, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.