Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Chicago → Newark via Nashville: arrives on time 46%
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10:37 ORD → 12:29 BNAUA 2414 · United · 1h 52m · 82% on time, 0.9% cancelled
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46m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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13:15 BNA → 16:37 EWRUA 2174 · United · 2h 22m · 74% on time, 2.8% cancelled
Total trip 5h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 00mORD 10:37 to EWR 16:37, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.