tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Seattle via Santa Ana: arrives on time 89%

  1. 06:42 EWR → 09:35 SNA
    UA 2423 · United · 5h 53m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Santa Ana (SNA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:05 SNA → 14:54 SEA
    AS 548 · Alaska · 2h 49m · 92% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 11h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 60 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip11h 12mEWR 06:42 to SEA 14:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.