tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Oakland via San Diego: arrives on time 83%

  1. 07:01 ORD → 09:29 SAN
    UA 2428 · United · 4h 28m · 95% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 01m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:30 SAN → 14:10 OAK
    AS 3218 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 40m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 91 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 01m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip9h 09mORD 07:01 to OAK 14:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.