tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Bozeman via Los Angeles: arrives on time 87%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 08:53 LAX
    UA 2434 · United · 5h 53m · 79% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 57m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:50 LAX → 16:24 BZN
    UA 2212 · United · 2h 34m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 12h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 2 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 192 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 57m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip12h 24mEWR 06:00 to BZN 16:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.