tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Knoxville via Dulles: arrives on time 71%

  1. 13:10 MIA → 15:53 IAD
    UA 2435 · United · 2h 43m · 88% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 53m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:46 IAD → 20:34 TYS
    UA 4914 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 1h 48m · 75% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 128 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 53m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip7h 24mMIA 13:10 to TYS 20:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.