tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → San Diego via Dulles: arrives on time 78%

  1. 13:10 MIA → 15:53 IAD
    UA 2435 · United · 2h 43m · 88% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 07m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:00 IAD → 20:23 SAN
    UA 2054 · United · 5h 23m · 83% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 10h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 82 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 07m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip10h 13mMIA 13:10 to SAN 20:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.