tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Las Vegas via Houston: arrives on time 83%

  1. 07:05 EWR → 09:50 IAH
    UA 2438 · United · 3h 45m · 94% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:55 IAH → 12:14 LAS
    UA 1799 · United · 3h 19m · 88% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip8h 09mEWR 07:05 to LAS 12:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.