tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Jackson via Los Angeles: arrives on time 54%

  1. 07:00 EWR → 09:37 LAX
    UA 2445 · United · 5h 37m · 81% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:28 LAX → 13:48 JAC
    UA 2110 · United · 2h 20m · 78% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Jackson is 2 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip8h 48mEWR 07:00 to JAC 13:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.