Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Phoenix → New Orleans via San Francisco: arrives on time 32%
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08:51 PHX → 10:54 SFOUA 2449 · United · 2h 03m · 25% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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1h 14m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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12:08 SFO → 18:33 MSYUA 246 · United · 4h 25m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 7h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection39%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 61% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (39%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 42mPHX 08:51 to MSY 18:33, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.