Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Phoenix → Bozeman via San Francisco: arrives on time 21%
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08:51 PHX → 10:54 SFOUA 2449 · United · 2h 03m · 25% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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1h 06m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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12:00 SFO → 15:21 BZNUA 562 · United · 2h 21m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 1 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection33%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 67% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (33%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 30mPHX 08:51 to BZN 15:21, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.