tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 53%

  1. 06:30 SJC → 12:54 ORD
    UA 2451 · United · 4h 24m · 97% on time, 5.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 09m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:03 ORD → 18:20 LGA
    AA 3050 · American · 2h 20m · 65% on time, 13.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 39 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 09m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (5.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (13.6% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip8h 53mSJC 06:30 to LGA 18:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.