tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Newark via Chicago: arrives on time 21%

  1. 06:30 SJC → 12:54 ORD
    UA 2451 · United · 4h 24m · 97% on time, 5.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 03m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:57 ORD → 19:33 EWR
    UA 2171 · United · 2h 36m · 27% on time, 16.1% cancelled

Total trip 10h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 3 h ahead of San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 138 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 03m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (5.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (16.1% are) and within 15 minutes (27%).
Total trip10h 03mSJC 06:30 to EWR 19:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.