tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Madison via Denver: arrives on time 75%

  1. 10:00 EWR → 12:18 DEN
    UA 2455 · United · 4h 18m · 83% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 22m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:40 DEN → 17:04 MSN
    UA 4805 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 24m · 84% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 22m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip8h 04mEWR 10:00 to MSN 17:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.