tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Los Angeles via Chicago: arrives on time 56%

  1. 07:40 BNA → 09:41 ORD
    UA 2465 · United · 2h 01m · 83% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 ORD → 13:09 LAX
    UA 1044 · United · 4h 39m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip7h 29mBNA 07:40 to LAX 13:09, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.