tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Cleveland via Chicago: arrives on time 56%

  1. 07:40 BNA → 09:41 ORD
    UA 2465 · United · 2h 01m · 83% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:29 ORD → 12:58 CLE
    UA 2389 · United · 1h 29m · 83% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Cleveland is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip4h 18mBNA 07:40 to CLE 12:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.