tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Myrtle Beach → Detroit via Chicago: arrives on time 30%

  1. 15:15 MYR → 16:49 ORD
    UA 2467 · United · 2h 34m · 59% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 ORD → 20:22 DTW
    UA 5232 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 37m · 56% on time, 4.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip5h 07mMYR 15:15 to DTW 20:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.