tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Tampa via Minneapolis: arrives on time 79%

  1. 08:00 IAH → 10:53 MSP
    UA 2469 · United · 2h 53m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 26m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:19 MSP → 17:32 TPA
    DL 2264 · Delta · 3h 13m · 82% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 56 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 26m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip8h 32mIAH 08:00 to TPA 17:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.