tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Dulles via Minneapolis: arrives on time 79%

  1. 08:00 IAH → 10:53 MSP
    UA 2469 · United · 2h 53m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 37m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:30 MSP → 18:04 IAD
    DL 3783 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 34m · 80% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 9h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 127 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 37m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip9h 04mIAH 08:00 to IAD 18:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.