tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Newark via Chicago: arrives on time 66%

  1. 07:25 MEM → 09:30 ORD
    UA 247 · United · 2h 05m · 85% on time, 6.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 21m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:51 ORD → 14:17 EWR
    UA 1856 · United · 2h 26m · 80% on time, 4.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 36 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 21m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (6.6% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 52mMEM 07:25 to EWR 14:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.