tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Houston via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 69%

  1. 08:30 IAD → 10:53 DFW
    UA 2471 · United · 3h 23m · 88% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 29m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:22 DFW → 15:44 HOU
    AA 5002 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 23m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 119 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 29m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip8h 15mIAD 08:30 to HOU 15:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.