tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Rochester via Chicago: arrives on time 61%

  1. 12:34 MCO → 14:42 ORD
    UA 2475 · United · 3h 08m · 82% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 47m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:29 ORD → 21:22 ROC
    UA 1568 · United · 1h 53m · 63% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 182 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 47m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip8h 48mMCO 12:34 to ROC 21:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.