tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Denver via San Francisco: arrives on time 35%

  1. 14:52 LAS → 16:34 SFO
    UA 2478 · United · 1h 42m · 51% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:30 SFO → 21:28 DEN
    UA 1214 · United · 2h 58m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 36mLAS 14:52 to DEN 21:28, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.