tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Dulles via Los Angeles: arrives on time 83%

  1. 10:06 PHX → 11:31 LAX
    UA 2487 · United · 1h 25m · 91% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:43 LAX → 20:48 IAD
    UA 1635 · United · 5h 05m · 89% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip7h 42mPHX 10:06 to IAD 20:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.