Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Tulsa via Houston: arrives on time 53%

  1. 18:42 BNA → 20:54 IAH
    UA 2490 · United · 2h 12m · 76% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:42 IAH → 23:15 TUL
    UA 6179 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 33m · 85% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip4h 33mBNA 18:42 to TUL 23:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.