tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Phoenix via Houston: arrives on time 78%

  1. 07:15 TPA → 08:42 IAH
    UA 2491 · United · 2h 27m · 94% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:40 IAH → 10:34 PHX
    UA 1895 · United · 2h 54m · 85% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 19mTPA 07:15 to PHX 10:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.