tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Los Angeles via Houston: arrives on time 85%

  1. 07:15 TPA → 08:42 IAH
    UA 2491 · United · 2h 27m · 94% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 51m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:33 IAH → 14:06 LAX
    UA 2460 · United · 3h 33m · 87% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 9h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 186 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 51m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip9h 51mTPA 07:15 to LAX 14:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.